Trường DC | Giá trị | Ngôn ngữ |
---|---|---|
dc.contributor.author | Hoang, Thi Thanh Ha | |
dc.contributor.other | Tran, Thi Bich | |
dc.date.accessioned | 2023-11-01T10:23:41Z | - |
dc.date.available | 2023-11-01T10:23:41Z | - |
dc.date.issued | 2019 | |
dc.identifier.isbn | 1941-0020 | |
dc.identifier.uri | https://dlib.neu.edu.vn/handle/NEU/58627 | - |
dc.description | economic development | |
dc.description.abstract | A consumer confience index (CCI) is an important economic indicator which is used to adjust the forecasting of gross domestic product (GDP) and consumer price index (CPI) in the shortterm. Although there exists standard guidelines from the United Nations Statistics Division and European Commission, international experience shows the scale that measures a CCI and the methods of calculating a CCI need to be adapted to the country specifi context. Using its own data from the nationally representative survey and factor analysis methods, this paper constructs a scale to measure consumer confience for Vietnam. The paper, then, computes a CCI and proposes the most appropriate method corresponding to the Vietnamese setting. Validation methods from the paper show that the Vietnamese CCI calculated in the paper reflcts approximately the economic picture of the whole country as well as six regions of Vietnam, ensuring the validity of using this index to adjust short-term GDP and CPI forecasts. | |
dc.description.tableofcontents | 1. Introduction; 2. Theoretical foundation and literature review; 3. Research methodology; 4. Empirical results; 5. Conclusion | |
dc.format.extent | Khổ 21 x 29.7 | |
dc.language.iso | en | |
dc.publisher | Kinh Tế Quốc Dân | |
dc.subject | Confimatory factor analysis | |
dc.subject | consumer confience index | |
dc.subject | exploratory factor analysis | |
dc.title | Consumer Confience Index in Vietnam: Scale Development and Compilation Methods | |
dc.type | Journal of Economics and Development | |
dc.identifier.barcode | Article 8_JED_Vol 21_Special Issue | |
dc.relation.reference | Acemoglu, D. and Scott, A. (1994), ‘Consumer confience and rational expectations: Are agents beliefs consistent with the theory?’, The Economic Journal, 104, 1-19. Blanchard, O.J. and Fischer, S. (1989), Lectures in macroeconomics, The MIT Press, Cambridge. Curtin, R. (2007), ‘Consumer sentiment surveys: Worldwide review and assessment’, Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, 1, 7-42. Eppright, D.R., Arguea, N.M. and Huth, W.L. (1998), ‘Aggregate consumer expectation indexes as indicators of future consumer expenditures’, Journal of Economic Psychology, 19, 215-235. European Central Bank (2013), ‘Confience indicators and economic developments’, in Monthly Bulletin January 2013, European Central Bank, Germany, 45-58. European Commission (2017), The joint harmonised EU programme of business and consumer surveys User Guide, EU Commission, Brussels. Fornell, C. and Larcker, D.F. (1981), ‘Evaluating structural equation models with unobserved variables and measurement error’, Journal of Marketing Research, 28, 39-50. Friedman, M. (1957), A Theory of the Consumption Function, Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press. General Statistics Offi (2017), Statistical yearbook, Statistical Publishing House, Vietnam. Ha, N.H.P. and Trinh, B. (2018), ‘Vietnam economic structure change based on Vietnam input-output tables 2012 and 2016’, Theoretical Economics Letters, Scientifi Research Publishing, 8, 699-708. Hall, R.E. (1978), ‘Stochastic implications of the life cycle-permanent income hypothesis: Theory and evidence’, Journal of Political Economy, 86(6), 971-987. Hoang, T.T.H (2018), ‘Study on consumer confience survey and the application to Vietnam’, Ministry level project, Institute of Statistical Science, Hanoi. Katona, G. (1951), Psychological analysis of economic behavior, New York: McGraw-Hill. Katona, G. (1960), The powerful consumer, McGraw-Hill, New York. Katona, G. (1975), Psychological economics, Elsevier Scientifi Publishing Company, New York. Malgarini, M. and Margani, P. (2005), ‘Psychology, consumer sentiment and household expenditures: A disaggregated analysis’, Istituto Di Studi E Analisi Economica, 58. NCEIF (2013), Investigation of consumer confience in Vietnam, Hanoi. Roussel, P., Durrieu, F., Campoy, E. and Akremi, A. (2002), Méthodes D’équations Structurelles: Recherche Et Applications En Gestion, 1 st edition, Economica, Paris. United Nations Statistics Division (2014), Handbook on economic tendency surveys, retrieved on October 20th 2014, from <http://unstats.un.org/unsd/nationalaccount/consultationDocs/draftETS-HandbookMay2014.pdf>. | |
Bộ sưu tập | 02. Tạp chí (Tiếng Anh) |
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Trường DC | Giá trị | Ngôn ngữ |
---|---|---|
dc.contributor.author | Hoang, Thi Thanh Ha | |
dc.contributor.other | Tran, Thi Bich | |
dc.date.accessioned | 2023-11-01T10:23:41Z | - |
dc.date.available | 2023-11-01T10:23:41Z | - |
dc.date.issued | 2019 | |
dc.identifier.isbn | 1941-0020 | |
dc.identifier.uri | https://dlib.neu.edu.vn/handle/NEU/58627 | - |
dc.description | economic development | |
dc.description.abstract | A consumer confience index (CCI) is an important economic indicator which is used to adjust the forecasting of gross domestic product (GDP) and consumer price index (CPI) in the shortterm. Although there exists standard guidelines from the United Nations Statistics Division and European Commission, international experience shows the scale that measures a CCI and the methods of calculating a CCI need to be adapted to the country specifi context. Using its own data from the nationally representative survey and factor analysis methods, this paper constructs a scale to measure consumer confience for Vietnam. The paper, then, computes a CCI and proposes the most appropriate method corresponding to the Vietnamese setting. Validation methods from the paper show that the Vietnamese CCI calculated in the paper reflcts approximately the economic picture of the whole country as well as six regions of Vietnam, ensuring the validity of using this index to adjust short-term GDP and CPI forecasts. | |
dc.description.tableofcontents | 1. Introduction; 2. Theoretical foundation and literature review; 3. Research methodology; 4. Empirical results; 5. Conclusion | |
dc.format.extent | Khổ 21 x 29.7 | |
dc.language.iso | en | |
dc.publisher | Kinh Tế Quốc Dân | |
dc.subject | Confimatory factor analysis | |
dc.subject | consumer confience index | |
dc.subject | exploratory factor analysis | |
dc.title | Consumer Confience Index in Vietnam: Scale Development and Compilation Methods | |
dc.type | Journal of Economics and Development | |
dc.identifier.barcode | Article 8_JED_Vol 21_Special Issue | |
dc.relation.reference | Acemoglu, D. and Scott, A. (1994), ‘Consumer confience and rational expectations: Are agents beliefs consistent with the theory?’, The Economic Journal, 104, 1-19. Blanchard, O.J. and Fischer, S. (1989), Lectures in macroeconomics, The MIT Press, Cambridge. Curtin, R. (2007), ‘Consumer sentiment surveys: Worldwide review and assessment’, Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, 1, 7-42. Eppright, D.R., Arguea, N.M. and Huth, W.L. (1998), ‘Aggregate consumer expectation indexes as indicators of future consumer expenditures’, Journal of Economic Psychology, 19, 215-235. European Central Bank (2013), ‘Confience indicators and economic developments’, in Monthly Bulletin January 2013, European Central Bank, Germany, 45-58. European Commission (2017), The joint harmonised EU programme of business and consumer surveys User Guide, EU Commission, Brussels. Fornell, C. and Larcker, D.F. (1981), ‘Evaluating structural equation models with unobserved variables and measurement error’, Journal of Marketing Research, 28, 39-50. Friedman, M. (1957), A Theory of the Consumption Function, Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press. General Statistics Offi (2017), Statistical yearbook, Statistical Publishing House, Vietnam. Ha, N.H.P. and Trinh, B. (2018), ‘Vietnam economic structure change based on Vietnam input-output tables 2012 and 2016’, Theoretical Economics Letters, Scientifi Research Publishing, 8, 699-708. Hall, R.E. (1978), ‘Stochastic implications of the life cycle-permanent income hypothesis: Theory and evidence’, Journal of Political Economy, 86(6), 971-987. Hoang, T.T.H (2018), ‘Study on consumer confience survey and the application to Vietnam’, Ministry level project, Institute of Statistical Science, Hanoi. Katona, G. (1951), Psychological analysis of economic behavior, New York: McGraw-Hill. Katona, G. (1960), The powerful consumer, McGraw-Hill, New York. Katona, G. (1975), Psychological economics, Elsevier Scientifi Publishing Company, New York. Malgarini, M. and Margani, P. (2005), ‘Psychology, consumer sentiment and household expenditures: A disaggregated analysis’, Istituto Di Studi E Analisi Economica, 58. NCEIF (2013), Investigation of consumer confience in Vietnam, Hanoi. Roussel, P., Durrieu, F., Campoy, E. and Akremi, A. (2002), Méthodes D’équations Structurelles: Recherche Et Applications En Gestion, 1 st edition, Economica, Paris. United Nations Statistics Division (2014), Handbook on economic tendency surveys, retrieved on October 20th 2014, from <http://unstats.un.org/unsd/nationalaccount/consultationDocs/draftETS-HandbookMay2014.pdf>. | |
Bộ sưu tập | 02. Tạp chí (Tiếng Anh) |